Senior administration officials want to use the summit to advance financial support for developing countries, as well as project confidence in the importance of the Group of 20 — even as leaders such as Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin have decided to skip the meeting this year amid tensions over the war in Ukraine.
Upon arriving, Biden was greeted by several officials, including Eric Garcetti, the U.S. ambassador to India, and his daughter Maya. Loud pop music played from a small stage nearby, and Biden paused briefly to listen and watch the dancers, before getting into his car to drive to Modi’s residence.
Aside from the meeting with Modi, Biden has planned no other formal bilateral meetings with G-20 participants, including Mohammed bin Salman, the Saudi Arabian crown prince, although there may be more informal engagements on the sidelines of the meetings.
Heading into the meeting with Modi, no reporters were expected to be allowed in to cover it, including a traditional pool spray at the top where photographers and videographers record the start and reporters often have an opportunity to shout questions.
U.S. officials have been pressing for days to have some press access to the meeting with Modi, but they met resistance from their Indian counterparts.
“Many of us at very senior levels have been significantly involved in this, but that doesn’t always yield a particular journalist standing in a particular pool spray,” national security adviser Jake Sullivan told reporters aboard Air Force One. “What we can pledge to you is what’s in our control, which is ensuring that we are transparent and comprehensive in our readout of what the two leaders discussed, which we will.”
Amid two days of meetings among the world’s largest economic powers, U.S. officials said they hoped to arrive at a joint statement — something that has become more difficult with a range of divisions, including on the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
“There’s still some distance to travel before there is a final communiqué released to the public or agreed among the leaders, and we’ll have to see what happens,” Sullivan said.
One of Biden’s top policy goals for the summit is increasing the capacity of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund to lend money to developing countries. Biden has asked Congress to approve more than $3 billion in World Bank and IMF financing, and administration officials believe that they can get other countries to make similar commitments, significantly increasing the available funds.
That effort is largely aimed at providing a counterweight to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, which supplies funding for large infrastructure projects in developing countries. The U.S. effort also reflects the intensifying push-and-pull between the two superpowers as they seek influence and alliances around the world.
Biden is also planning to call on other G-20 members to provide debt relief for low- and middle-income countries. The United States will also focus on climate, health and digital technology, Sullivan said, including the promise and peril of artificial intelligence.
“The United States will make it clear that we remain committed to the G-20 as a critical forum for all of the major economies of the world to come together for global problem-solving,” Sullivan said. “At a moment when the international economy is suffering from historic and overlapping shocks, it’s more important than ever that we have a working forum with the world’s largest economies to deliver meaningful outcomes.”
The Ukraine war is likely to also be a theme of the summit, and Biden is planning to emphasize the consequences that the war has had for countries around the world. He will also emphasize that the United States will remain committed to Ukraine.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who made a surprise in-person appearance at the Group of Seven meetings this summer in Hiroshima, Japan, is not expected to attend or give any virtual address.
“From our perspective, anytime President Zelensky gets the opportunity to address a body, a group, is a good thing,” Sullivan said. “We believe that about the G-20. He addressed it last year. But President Zelensky has been relentless in his capacity to engage all of the leaders who are seated at the table,” he added. “So, I feel good about where we are, although the U.S. view is very much that having Zelensky have a role in this G-20 would be a good thing.”
While the G-20 countries managed to agree on a joint communiqué in the last hour at their 2022 summit in Bali, the members have become further polarized since then, making the possibility of such a document elusive. For some, the looming possibility of the first G-20 that is unable to bring forth a consensus signals the further disintegration of a multilateral world.
“There’s just a broader breakdown in the global order right now,” said Dinsha Mistree, a research fellow in the program on strengthening U.S.-Indian relations at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. “Gone are the days of globalization, where we see everybody saying, ‘Let’s promote capitalism and open up markets,’ because, well, that’s a thing of the past.”
Xi’s decision not to attend the event marks a further deterioration of India-China ties, and Biden expressed disappointment that his Chinese counterpart, with whom he met at last year’s G-20, would not be attending.
“China doesn’t want an India success,” said Indrani Bagchi, a leading foreign policy commentator and head of the Ananta Aspen Center think tank. “China has opposed India for the last decade at every step. China would not want India to have a moment.”
India, however, has its own agenda for the summit, hoping to divert attention from divisions over the war in Europe by focusing on its own economic and diplomatic growth and such pressing global issues such as debt, climate, food and fuel.
“When you look at dysfunctional multilateralism, the G-20 is actually the dream team, because here’s a chance even for the most irascible, irreconcilable contenders and foes to reconcile some of their differences, which they may not be able to reconcile on the battlefield,” said Sujan Chinoy, a former Indian ambassador who now runs India’s main defense think tank. “If you build up a modicum of trust and confidence on larger issues, then it gives some foundation for future peace talks.”
Officials across India have expressed frustration that the Ukraine war is likely to overshadow much of the conversation.
“India has made the assessment that at present we cannot play a major role in the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine. For that, there are certain prerequisites, including the willingness on the part of the countries involved,” said Ashok Kantha, a former Indian ambassador to China. “The Ukraine conflict has sucked the oxygen out of the international arena. There are other areas which are actually hurting developing countries far more, and somehow those concerns become secondary.”
Biden is scheduled to depart Sunday on a trip to Vietnam, where he will cement an elevated diplomatic relationship with a country that borders China.
Biden’s trip to Hanoi is aimed at reorienting the Pacific region as a counterbalance to China. As he is feted by his hosts, he plans to offer American help in finding remains of Vietnamese soldiers who went missing during the Vietnam War of the 1960s and ’70s.
It will be the first time that Biden, who has visited dozens of nations and whose generation was engulfed by the Vietnam War, has set foot in the country.
